Note from the editor: This article is based on the prognosis for July 31.
The weather for Monday morning in New Jersey is expected to be a typical summer day with some haze from wildfire smoke.
With rainfall totals of up to 7 inches likely, New Jersey could be hit by severe and widespread flash floods on Thursday afternoon and into Friday morning.
The National Weather Service warned early Thursday that storms might produce extreme rainfall rates of more than 2 inches per hour. In general, 1-3 inches of rain are anticipated, with localized totals of 5-7 inches or higher likely.
The entire state is under a flash flood watch. Many flash floods are likely because the majority of the state is at a moderate risk of experiencing extreme rainfall.
The hours of 2 to 9 p.m. are predicted to see the most rain.
From 2 p.m. on Thursday until 2 p.m. on Friday, the five northeastern counties of Bergen, Essex, Hudson, Union, and Passaic are under a flash flood watch. The watch is in effect for the remainder of the state Friday from 2 p.m. to 6 a.m.
According to the weather service, there could be a lot of urban flash floods due to inadequate drainage and riverine flash floods. There may be a higher risk of property damage and fatalities due to localized catastrophic flooding, especially on Thursday afternoon and Thursday evening.
Severe thunderstorms with strong winds are another risk.
According to the weather service, isolated strong thunderstorms could occur today afternoon and tonight. Winds that cause damage locally are the greatest danger.
Seven individuals were murdered in weather-related incidents in July, making it a lethal month in New Jersey.
According to local officials, two ladies were killed on July 14 when their car washed away during extreme floods in Plainfield.
The amount of rain that is predicted to fall tonight may surpass the amounts that triggered severe flash flooding throughout the state that evening. The maximum amount of rain that fell during that storm was 6.51 inches in Watchung.
Other weather-related fatalities in July include:
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July 3:
Two men were killed
in Plainfield when their car was hit by a falling tree on Myrtle Avenue. A short distance away in North Plainfield, a
44-year-old Middlesex Borough woman was killed
shortly after she pulled over and a large tree fell on her vehicle.
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July 8:
A28-year-old Franklin Lakes man was struck by lightning
at the Ballyowen Golf Course in Sandyston.
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July 16:
A 61-year-old man wasstruck and killed by lightning during a Cub Scout
archery event in Jackson.
It will be another hot and muggy day with highs in the upper 80s to low 90s before the rain arrives this afternoon.
Even while the most intense rainfall will end by midnight, sporadic showers may persist throughout the night, particularly in southern regions.
Friday is going to be an overcast, considerably colder day with showers and drizzle.
The first day of August will feel more like fall with highs in the mid 70s and winds of 10 to 20 mph that can gust to almost 30 mph.
It is impossible to dismiss out gusts of up to 40 mph along the immediate coast.
Over the weekend, the forecast gets considerably better.
The weather on Saturday and Sunday should be pleasant, dry, and sunny.
Temperatures should reach the mid-80s on Sunday after reaching highs in the low 80s on Saturday.
Nighttime temperatures will be between the middle of the 50s and the middle of the 60s.
According to the weather service, the summertime weather is as lovely and ideal as it gets.
Current weather radar
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